Weather Analysis & Forecast

## Expected Weather Conditions
- **Overall Conditions:** Cold and stable, with a weak but persistent pressure trend. The significant 12-hour pressure drop suggests a very gradual loss of atmospheric stability, but current readings indicate calm conditions.
- **Potential Weather Events:** No significant precipitation or severe weather expected. A slight increase in cloud cover is possible later in the forecast period due to the falling pressure trend.
- **Practical Advice:** Dress warmly for sub-freezing temperatures. Conditions are suitable for outdoor activities, but be aware of the cold and potential for icy surfaces, especially after sunset as temperatures continue to fall.

## Forecast Valid Until
- **Duration:** This forecast is valid for the next 12 hours, from 15:47 Monday, January 26, 2026, until 03:47 on Tuesday, January 27, 2026.
- **Next Significant Change:** The next notable weather change is likely beyond the 12-hour window, as the current slow-moving pattern persists. The extended 24-hour outlook should be monitored for a potential shift.

## Short-Term Outlook (3 Hours)
- **Pressure & Temperature:** Pressure will remain nearly stable (around 1011.8 hPa). Temperature will continue to fall gradually, dropping an additional 1-2°C.
- **Weather Conditions:** Clear to partly cloudy, dry, and cold. No precipitation.
- **Atmospheric Developments:** Very little change. The stable humidity and very slow pressure rise suggest a temporary pause in the broader falling pressure trend.

## Medium-Term Forecast (12 Hours)
- **Temperature Range:** Overnight low expected to reach -8°C to -10°C by early Tuesday morning. No significant warming anticipated.
- **Pressure Pattern:** Pressure will resume a very slow, steady decline, likely falling another 0.3-0.4 hPa based on the observed rate.
- **Overall Conditions:** Increasing cloud cover is probable as pressure falls, leading to partly to mostly cloudy skies by the end of the period. Remaining dry and very cold.

## Extended Outlook (24 Hours)
- **General Trend:** Continued cooling and gradual pressure decrease. The pattern suggests a weak disturbance may approach, increasing cloud cover.
- **Expected Weather Patterns:** Cloudy skies are likely by Tuesday afternoon/evening. A slight chance of light snow or flurries emerges if moisture availability increases, but confidence in precipitation is currently low.
- **Notable Changes:** A transition from clear/stable to more cloudy/unsettled conditions. Temperatures will remain well below freezing.

## Confidence Assessment
- **Reliability Rating:** **Medium-High** for the first 12 hours.
- **Factors Affecting Certainty:** High confidence in temperature and pressure trends due to consistent sensor data. Lower confidence in cloud cover and precipitation potential due to limited moisture/humidity data and the weak nature of the forcing mechanism (slow pressure fall).
- **What Might Change:** A faster-than-expected pressure drop or an influx of moisture could increase cloud cover and the risk of light snow sooner than anticipated. Conversely, the system could remain dry, resulting in only cloudy skies.