## Prediction
- Morning fog/low cloud and 100% RH will gradually lift through midday as temperature rises from ~4°C toward 7°C; expect clearing skies by afternoon (MET: 0–5% cloud, 0 mm precip).
- Sharp cooldown overnight to near or slightly below 0°C by Friday morning (MET: -0.5°C at 07:00), with partly cloudy skies returning and no precipitation expected.
## Why (the pattern)
- Station pressure has been essentially flat for 12+ hours (997.0–997.5 hPa raw; 3h change +0.48 hPa, 12h +0.25 hPa) — a stable, settled regime, not a falling-pressure deterioration. Sea-level-equivalent 1035.6 hPa is well into "high/settled" territory, agreeing with MET's ~1034 hPa MSL.
- The 36-reading history shows a clean diurnal signature: overnight saturation (RH 100%) and cold minima near 4°C, a midday warm/dry spike (13.0°C, RH 59% at 12:59 on 11-04), then re-saturation by evening. Today should repeat that pattern; MET's clearing-sky forecast reinforces strong radiative cooling tonight.
## Confidence
- High on the overall settled, dry, clearing trend (station pressure stability and MET model agree strongly). Medium on exact overnight minimum — clear skies plus 100% RH raises fog/frost risk, and the local history is only ~36h, so the diurnal pattern is suggestive rather than fully established. Next significant change: rapid cooling after ~18:00, coldest near Friday dawn.
Last updated: 2026-11-05 08:56:28
Temperature spikes due to direct sunlight are filtered for more accurate forecasts.